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    Question ID:   2088         Current Version: 1
Question: How are damaging winds detected and forecasted?
Category: Science > Weather
Keywords: downburst, microburst, gust front, damage, wind, detect, predict, forecast
Type: how
Rating:(0 ratings)    Views: 247    Discussions: 0   In Watch Lists: 1  

 
    Answer:

Doppler radar is a useful tool because certain features can identify damaging wind hazards. Sometimes a thin line appears on the radar display indicating a gust front. Doppler radar velocity data can show areas of diverging winds at the surface, and even the strength of those winds. Winds coming together at upper levels of the storm (convergence) can also be seen on velocity displays, and can indicate the development of a microburst.

A well-defined gustfront/outflow boundary was associated with later tornado formation in this Missouri storm. 

The Damaging Downburst Prediction and Detection algorithm developed at NSSL (National Severe Storms Laboratory) detected a moderately strong microburst in progress with winds estimated between 35-58 mph and predicted a severe microburst greater than 58 mph. 

Major airports routinely use Terminal Doppler Weather Radars, developed during the 1990's. These radars pay particular attention to weather conditions occurring with a few miles of the airport, especially conditions that might cause deadly microbursts. US commercial pilots are now required to take microburst training.

Can they be forecast?

According to the majority of Storm Prediction Center forecasters, severe wind is the most difficult threat to forecast because they come from a wider range of environments than supercells, tornadoes, or large hail. Damaging winds can be produced by Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS's), squall lines, or even just a dying thunderstorm.

 

Original Source: National Severe Storms Laboratory 

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